Recent Publications
- Kravtsov, S., W. K. Dewar, M. Ghil, J. C. McWilliams, and P. Berloff, 2008: A mechanistic model of mid-latitude decadal climate variability. Physica D, 237, 584–599, doi:10.1016/j.physd.2007.09.025.
- Kravtsov, S., and C. Spannagle, 2008: Multi-decadal climate variability in observed and simulated surface temperatures. J. Climate, 21, 1104–1121.
- Kravtsov, S., W. K. Dewar, P. Berloff, J. C. McWilliams, and M. Ghil, 2008: North Atlantic climate variability in coupled models and data. Nonlin. Proc. Geophys., 15, 13–24.
- Tsonis, A. A., K. Swanson, and S. Kravtsov, 2007: A new dynamical mechanism for major climate shifts. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L13705, doi:10.1029/2007GL030288.
- Kravtsov, S., W. K. Dewar, P. Berloff, J. C. McWilliams, and M. Ghil, 2007: A highly nonlinear coupled mode of decadal variability in a mid-latitude ocean–atmosphere model. Dyn. Atmos. Oceans, 43, 123–150, doi:10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2006.08.001.
- Berloff, P., S. Kravtsov, W. K. Dewar, and J. C. McWilliams, 2007: Ocean eddy dynamics in a coupled ocean–atmosphere model. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 37, 1103–1121.
- Kravtsov, S. P. Berloff, W. K. Dewar, M. Ghil, and J. C. McWilliams, 2006: Dynamical origin of low-frequency variability in a highly nonlinear mid-latitude coupled model. J. Climate, 19, 6391–6408.
- Kondrashov,
D., S. Kravtsov, and M. Ghil, 2006: Empirical mode reduction
in a model of extratropical low-frequency variability. J. Atmos. Sci., 63,1859-1877.
- Kravtsov, S., A. W. Robertson, and M. Ghil, 2006: Multiple regimes and low-frequency oscillations in the Northern Hemisphere's zonal-mean flow. J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 840-860.
- Kondrashov, D., S. Kravtsov, A. W. Robertson, and M. Ghil, 2005: A hierarchy of data-based ENSO models. J. Climate, 18, 4425-4444.
- Kravtsov, S., D. Kondrashov, and M. Ghil, 2005: Multi-level regression modeling of nonlinear processes: Derivation and applications to climatic variability. J. Climate, 18, 4404-4424.
- Kravtsov, S., A. W. Robertson, and M. Ghil, 2005: Bimodal behavior in the zonal mean flow of a baroclinic -channel model. J. Atmos. Sci., 62,1746-1769.
- Kravtsov, S., and M. Ghil, 2004: Interdecadal variability in a hybrid coupled ocean-atmospheresea-ice model. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 34, 1756-1775.
- Kravtsov,
S. V., A. W. Robertson, and M. Ghil, 2003: Low-frequency variability
in a baroclinic -channel model with land-sea contrast. J. Atmos. Sci., 60,
2267-2293, 409TSTS56.
- Kravtsov, S. V., and W. K. Dewar, 2003: On the role of thermohaline advection and sea ice in glacial transitions. J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 108, 3203-3221, 2002JC001439.
- Kravtsov, S. V., and A. W. Robertson, 2002: Midlatitude ocean-atmosphere interaction in an idealized coupled model. Clim. Dyn., 19, 693-711.
- Kravtsov, S. V., and A. W. Robertson, 2001: On midlatitude ocean-atmosphere interaction in a simple coupled model. CLIVAR Exchanges, 19, 7-8.
- Kravtsov, S. V., 2000: Sea ice and climate. Part II: Model climate sensitivity to perturbations of the hydrological cycle. J. Climate, 13, 463-487.
- Kravtsov, S. V., and W. K. Dewar, 1998: Multiple equilibria and transitions in a coupled ocean-atmosphere box model. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 28, 389-397.
- Kravtsov, S. V., 1998: Sea Ice and Climate Sensitivity. PhD Thesis, Department of Oceanography, Florida State University.
Articles Pending Publication
- Kravtsov, S., D. Kondrashov, I. Kamenkovich, and M. Ghil, 2008: Empirical stochastic model of sea-surface temperature dependent surface wind over the Southern Ocean. J. Tech, sub judice.
- Kravtsov, S. and A. A. Tsonis, 2008: How much of global warming is due to natural climate variability? Submitted to J. Climate.
- Kravtsov, S., Hoeve, J. E. T., S. B. Feldstein, S. Lee, and S.-W. Sun, 2008: The relationship between statistically linear and nonlinear feedbacks and zonal-mean flow variability in an idealized climate model. Submitted to J. Atmos. Sci.
- Hogg, A., W. K. Dewar, P. Berloff, and S. Kravtsov, 2008: The effect of mesoscale ocean–atmosphere coupling on the midlatitude ocean circulation. Submitted to J. Climate.
- Strounine, K., S. Kravtsov, D. Kondrashov, and M. Ghil, 2008: Reduced models of extratropical low-frequency variability. Physica D, to be submitted.
- Kravtsov, S., M. Ghil, and D. Kondrashov, 2008: Empirical Model Reduction and the Modeling Hierarchy in Climate Dynamics and the Geosciences. In: Stochastic Physics and Climate Modeling, T. Palmer and P. Williams, Eds., Cambridge University Press.
- Hanrahan, J. L., S. Kravtsov, and P. J. Roebber, 2008: Quasi-periodic decadal cycles in levels of lakes Michigan and Huron. Geophys. Res. Lett., submitted.
Manuscripts in Preparation and Unpublished Manuscripts
- Kravtsov, S., and A. A. Tsonis, 2006: Global warming trend and multi-decadal climate variability.
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