Mathematics 571 Introduction to Probability Models Course Topics
All of this reading is from the ninth edition of Introduction to
Probability Models by Sheldon Ross.
- Review of Basic Probability
- Conditional Probability
- Exponential and Gamma Distributions
- Markov Chains
- Introductory Examples
- The Chapman-Kolmogorov Equations
- Classification of States
- Limiting Probabilities
- The Gambler's Ruin Problem
- The Binomial Pricing Model for Stocks
- Mean Time in Transient States
- Branching Processes
- Poisson Process
- The Waiting Time Approach to the Poisson Process
- The Differential Equation Approach to the Poisson Process
- Poisson Random Sums and Insurance Claims
- Non-homogeneous Poisson Processes
- A Model of Software Reliability
- Continuous Time Markov Chains
- Some Finite State Examples
- The Waiting Time Approach to Continuous Time Markov Chains
- The Differential Equation Approach to Continuous Time Markov
Chains
- Birth and Death Processes
- Some Simple Queing Models
- Brownian Motion and Martingales
- Introduction to Brownian Motion
- The Gambler's Ruin Problem for Brownian Motion
- Geometric Brownian Motion
- A Simple Stochastic Differential Equation and Ito's Lemma
- Pricing Stock Options with Geometric Brownian Motion: The
Black-Scholes Formula.
- Simulation
- Three General Methods of Simulating IID Sequences of Random
Variables.
- Applications to Well-Known Distributions