Title: Are Forward Rates Free of the Risk Premium? An Empirical Examination
Author: Dutt, Swarna D.; Ghosh, Dipak
Author Affiliation: W GA College; Tulane U
Source: International Economic Journal, Autumn 1995, v. 9, no. 3, pp. 49-60
Publication Date: Autumn 1995
Abstract: We revisit the controversial risk premium hypothesis (RPH) using survey data on exchange rate expectations, and the Phillips-Hansen fully modified ordinary least squares procedure. This allows us to conduct an unrestricted cointegration analysis and also differentiate between strong (bivariate) and weak (multivariate) form of RPH. The no risk premium hypothesis is rejected across the board for both data sets and over all forecast horizons.

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