Title: Cointegration Test of a Long-Run Relation between the Real Effective Exchange Rate and the Trade Balance
Author: Arize, Augustine C.
Author Affiliation: E TX State U
Source: International Economic Journal, Autumn 1994, v. 8, no. 3, pp. 1-9
Publication Date: Autumn 1994
Abstract: This paper uses newly developed cointegration methodologies to examine the long-run relation between the real effective exchange rate and the trade balance in nine Asian economies over the present flexible exchange rate period, 1973q1 through 1991q1. The results indicate that there exists a positive and significant long-run "statistical equilibrium" between the trade balance and the real effective exchange rate in Asia. The approach adopted in this study is found to be an acceptable substitute for testing the Marshall-Lerner condition of stability.

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