Title: GNP Growth and Foreign Indebtedness in Middle-Income Developing Countries
Author: Afxentiou, Panayiotis C.
Author Affiliation: U Calgary
Source: International Economic Journal, Autumn 1993, v. 7, no. 3, pp. 81-92
Publication Date: Autumn 1993
Abstract: In this paper Granger causality between GNP growth and foreign indebtedness is examined in middle-income developing countries over the period 1971-88. The evidence for a foreign debt overhang is found to be stronger in two out of four cases when debt service and interest service ratios are used as indicators of indebtedness. The results would have been statistically stronger if several countries had not rescheduled their debts. Based on these results, which indirectly point to an overall mismanagement of foreign resources by borrowing countries, a valid argument can be made for country-specific writedowns of debt.