Title: External Shocks and the Global Debt Crisis of LDCs: A Quantitative Analysis
Author: Cha, Baekin
Author Affiliation: City Polytechnic of Hong Kong
Source: International Economic Journal, Spring 1993, v. 7, no. 1, pp. 49-60
Publication Date: Spring 1993
Abstract: This paper investigates empirically how much of external debt accumulation of major debtor countries during the period 1979-84 was due to external disturbances as opposed to domestic shocks. The carefully designed Bayesian vector autoregressions (BVAR) are applied to six major debtor countries and the resulting moving average representations are decomposed historically. It is found that the contribution of the external shocks outweighed that of domestic shocks during the period.