Title: Exports, Non-exports and Externalities: A Granger Causality Approach
Author: Hutchison, Michael; Singh, Nirvikar
Author Affiliation: U CA, Santa Cruz
Source: International Economic Journal, Summer 1992, v. 6, no. 2, pp. 79-94
Publication Date: Summer 1992
Abstract: Illustrated within the context of a dynamic form of the neoclassical two-sector growth model, the authors show that existing empirical studies may not detect potentially significant externality effects associated with expansion of the export sector because of declining marginal productivity differentials. A time series empirical methodology analyzing the interactions of the non-export sector and export sector is suggested which avoids this problem and isolates potential externality effects. Time series analysis gives results generally favorable to the existence of significant positive externality effects running from export growth to non-export output growth for a significant number of developing economies.