Title: Tariffs versus Quotas under Uncertainty: Restricting Imports and the Role of Preference
Author: Lapan, Harvey E.; Choi, E. Kwan
Author Affiliation: IA State U
Source: International Economic Journal, Winter 1988, v. 2, no. 4, pp. 35-55
Publication Date: Winter 1988
Abstract: This paper analyzes trade policies for a small country facing foreign price uncertainty and domestic production disturbances. The import-induced externality provides a rationale for trade restrictions. When the terms of trade are uncertain, the optimal composite tariff may require a negative ad valorem tariff, but dominates the optimal quota. Moreover, a production subsidy/tax may be combined with a specific tariff, but not with a quota. A general ranking of quotas versus tariffs in the presence of domestic uncertainty depends upon the price elasticity of demand for the importable and the curvatures of the indirect utility and the external damage functions.

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