Title: Bank Lending to LDCs: Lessons from the 1970s
Author: Antzoulatos, Angelos A.; Seth, Naveen
Author Affiliation: U Piraeus; Baruch College, CUNY
Source: International Economic Journal, Summer 2003, v. 17, no. 2, pp. 19-36
Publication Date: Summer 2003
Abstract: We use a recently-compiled database with monthly observations, to analyse the determinants of syndicated loans to Latin American (L.A.) and East Asian countries, for the period 1972-1982. Our results indicate that the loans were to a large extent supply-driven, and thus provide econometric evidence that "overlending" was a significant determinant of them along with economic fundamentals in the borrowing countries. They also suggest that E. Asia' s recent currency and banking crises will not likely develop into another "debt crisis", precipitated by a prolonged withdrawal of private capital from the region.

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