Title: A Macroeconometric Model of Income Disparity in China
Author: Shan, Jordan
Author Affiliation: Victoria U Technology and Peking U
Source: International Economic Journal, Summer 2002, v. 16, no. 2, pp. 47-63
Publication Date: Summer 2002
Abstract: This paper examines what impacts, if any, macroeconomic performances and macroeconomic policy have had on income inequality in China during the period 1955-1998. A vector autoregression model (VAR) is estimated which includes measures of macroeconomic performance, such as inflation and unemployment, and of macroeconomic policy such as money supply and fiscal expenditure. The VAR techniques, "innovation accounting" and "Granger causality," are utilized to examine the causal linkage, if any, between "macro-factors" and income disparity in China. We find that fiscal spending and unemployment appear to be the most important sources of change in income dispersion as far as the "macro" factors are concerned.

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