Title: Budget Deficits and Interest Rates in a Small Open Economy--Another Look at the Evidence: Reply
Author: Vamvoukas, George A.
Author Affiliation: Athens U Econ
Source: International Economic Journal, Summer 2002, v. 16, no. 2, pp. 31-36
Publication Date: Summer 2002
Abstract: Additional empirical research on the links between budget deficits and interest rates is highly relevant for the ongoing discussion about the validity of the Keynesian proposition and the Ricardian equivalence. This study using data from a small open economy investigates the empirical framework of both paradigms by applying SURE (Seemingly Unrelated Regression) technique and impulse response functions. SURE results lead to the indication that a bidirectional pattern of causality might exist between budget deficits and interest rates. Impulse response functions show that deficits and interest rates follow a joint feedback causality. This result is consistent with the Keynesian proposition, because changes in interest rates are a response to positive movements in budget deficits.

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