Title: Cointegration Approach to Estimate the Long-Run Trade Elasticities in LDCs
Author: Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen
Author Affiliation: U WI, Milwaukee
Source: International Economic Journal, Autumn 1998, v. 12, no. 3, pp. 89-96
Publication Date: Autumn 1998
Abstract: The Marshall-Lerner condition postulates that if the sum of import and export demand elasticities add up to more than one, devaluation should improve the trade balance in the long-run. This paper is the first to employ a long-run method, i.e., cointegration technique to estimate trade elasticities in less develop countries. In most cases the results reveal that indeed trade elasticities are large enough to support devaluation as a successful policy to improve the trade balance.

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