Title: The Short- and Long-Run Relationships between the Exchange Rate of the Dollar and Producer Prices in the U.S.
Author: Nourzad, Farrokh
Author Affiliation: Marquette U
Source: International Economic Journal, Summer 1997, v. 11, no. 2, pp. 59-71
Publication Date: Summer 1997
Abstract: This paper investigates empirically the relationship between exchange rates and producer prices in the U.S. using a multivariate dynamic framework. Cointegration tests reveal that there is a stable long-run relationship between prices, exchange rates and other factors according to which depreciations lead to higher prices. However, the estimated effect is not consistent with the pure form of purchasing power parity hypothesis. It is also found that in the short run, the rate at which the dollar depreciates does not exert a discernible impact on the rate of price inflation. Finally, there appears to be bi-directional causality between producer prices and exchange rates.

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