Title: How Real Are Real Exchange Rates?
Author: Kim, Yoonbai
Author Affiliation: U KY
Source: International Economic Journal, Spring 1997, v. 11, no. 1, pp. 87-108
Publication Date: Spring 1997
Abstract: This paper analyzes the role of real disturbances in the real dollar exchange rates of the mark, yen and the pound both during the post-1973 float and in the long-run historical data. The results indicate dominant roles of real shocks in all three exchange rates in the post-1973 float although a substantial portion of short-run variations in the mark and yen contains monetary characteristics. In the long historical data, real shocks are far less important explaining only a small portion of nominal exchange rate movements and 50 to 80 percent of real exchange rate movements. The analysis is based on the Mundell-Fleming-Dornbusch model as the structural model and the multivariate method of time series decomposition to incorporate the long-run invariance of the real exchange rate with respect to monetary shocks.

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