Title: Tariff and Defensive Responses: A Computational Analysis
Author: Deardorff, Alan V.; Stern, Robert M.
Author Affiliation: U MI
Source: International Economic Journal, Summer 1987, v. 1, no. 2, pp. 1-23
Publication Date: Summer 1987
Abstract: We use the Michigan Model of World Production and Trade to analyze how other countries might be affected by unilateral import surcharge and then to determine how large a surcharge might be required if these countries wanted to offset the detrimental effects that the U.S. action had on them. Our computational results suggest that several countries would not try to offset the U.S. action since doing so might make them worse off. But some of the major U.S. trading partners (Japan, Germany, Italy, and the United Kingdom) might feel compelled to introduce countermeasures to defend themselves. More gradually, our computations show how complex defensive responses may be because a given country may not know or be able to anticipate the effects of the responses of all other countries.

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