Title: Price and Inventory Dynamics of Primary Commodities
Author: Antonini, Alberto; Kwack, Sung Y.
Author Affiliation: Columbia U; Howard U
Source: International Economic Journal, Spring 1987, v. 1, no. 1, pp. 43-55
Publication Date: Spring 1987
Abstract: The paper develops a simple framework for the analysis of price and inventory dynamics of primary commodities under the assumption of rational expectations. The analysis shown that if an unanticipated shock primarily affects the demand conditions for inventories, the effect on prices is only temporary. However, when the flow conditions of production and consumption are altered, the change in price tends to become permanent. These results highlight the crucial importance of identifying the markets which originate fluctuations in prices when setting out policy measures to stabilize these fluctuations.

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