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Analysis of Food Stamp and Medical
Assistance Caseload Reductions in Milwaukee County: 1995-1999 by
John Pawasarat, University of
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Employment and Training Institute,
January 2000
The report has been prepared for Milwaukee County to examine the changes in public assistance
caseloads in the county for food stamps, medical assistance and AFDC cases. Published
monthly caseload data and client caseload records for selected months are used to track caseload
declines and to attempt to explain how the caseload has changed for both families and individuals
since December 1995. A previous study was used to track earnings and public assistance for
the December 1995 AFDC population through December 1996. This analysis did not use wage
match data but does use selected monthly welfare files to track cases through September 1999.
Funding support for this study was provided in part by the Helen Bader Foundation.
SUMMARY
Caseload Declines Were Sharpest Prior to W-2
- Milwaukee County AFDC caseloads stayed at or above the 35,000 level for the period
1986 through 1995 during which time caseloads in the balance of the state dropped rapidly.
During 1996 and 1997 the county's AFDC caseload began declining rapidly, dropping 41 percent
to 21,844 by September 1997, attributable in large part to a heavily funded Pay for Performance
initiative which placed unprecedented scrutiny and requirements on new and existing AFDC
cases. Under W-2, cases continued to decline but at a lower rate than under Pay for
Performance. As of September 1999, 6,051 families received a W-2 payment, 3,046 were in
Kinship Care, and 2,837 received an SSI Caretaker Supplement payment.
- Most
of the decline in food stamp and medical assistance caseloads took place prior to W-2 as well.
Food stamp cases declined by 25 percent from December 1995 to October 1997, and medical
assistance cases declined by 13 percent. The number of cases on both medical assistance and
food stamp stabilized during W-2.
- The number of individuals with medical assistance coverage has declined at a sharper rate
than the 13 percent decline in caseloads. From December 1995 to October 1997, the number
of adults on medical assistance declined by 25 percent and the number of children by 17 percent.
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